Gnistan 3-2 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-11.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
485 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
4W-1D-0L
AWAY KaPa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.07.2023 Gnistan Gnistan 1-0 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
29.04.2023 KaPa KaPa 0-2 HT 0-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
28.09.2019 KaPa KaPa 0-1 HT 0-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİNKAK
05.07.2015 Gnistan Gnistan 1-0 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
13.06.2014 Gnistan Gnistan 0-0 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan edged past KaPa 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gnistan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gnistan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gnistan and 0.00 for KaPa.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs KaPa?

Gnistan 3-2 KaPa in the Friendlies on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 43%, draw 26%, KaPa 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gnistan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gnistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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