Valour 0-1 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 8 Jul 2024

📅08/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
53%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 54%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
0.76/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.39
+5% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 76%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
17.9 Crosses 19.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cavalry
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.16 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 Passes 306
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
30.09.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
12.08.2023 Valour Valour 3-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
01.07.2023 Valour Valour 0-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
01.05.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-0 Valour Valour CAPL
02.10.2022 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-0 Valour Valour CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
0-1
AWAY Cavalry
0.43 xG 0.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
373 Passes 417
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valour vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry squeezed past Valour 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Valour had 48% of the ball to Cavalry's 52%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.43 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Valour and 1.67 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Valour vs Cavalry?

Valour 0-1 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Valour 24%, draw 23%, Cavalry 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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