Pachuca 0-1 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 8 Jul 2024

Pachuca
0-1 HT 0-1
Monterrey
📅08/07/2024 · 🕒04:06 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

Pachuca vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
15.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+4.7pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.9pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pachuca v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +16%
1.39/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.19
+10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 81%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.5 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Pachuca vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Monterrey
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.35 xG 1.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
331 Passes 353
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 3-2 HT 2-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
05.11.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 0-2 HT 0-2 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
13.03.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 1-2 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
24.10.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 0-1 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
21.10.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 5-2 HT 2-2 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
02.10.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 0-0 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK

Pachuca 0-1 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
0-1
AWAY Monterrey
0.94 xG 1.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
421 Passes 297
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey squeezed past Pachuca 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Pachuca at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pachuca had 57% of the ball to Monterrey's 43%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 0.94 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pachuca and 1.50 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Monterrey?

Pachuca 0-1 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 44%, draw 23%, Monterrey 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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