Monterrey vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterrey v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Monterrey
MEK
1-2
HT 1-1
Monterrey
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Pachuca
MEK
5-2
HT 2-2
Monterrey
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Pachuca
MEK
3-0
HT 1-0
Monterrey
MEK
Monterrey 3-2 Pachuca — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey squeezed past Pachuca 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Monterrey had 63% of the ball to Pachuca's 37%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 2.33 to 0.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Monterrey's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monterrey and 1.67 for Pachuca.
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Pachuca?
Monterrey 3-2 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Pachuca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 50%, draw 26%, Pachuca 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.