Santos Laguna 0-3 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 28% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -3%
1.39/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.05
+29% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +38%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
18.2 Crosses 18.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.06 xG 1.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
270 Passes 364
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 3-2 HT 1-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
09.01.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-3 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
15.08.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
13.01.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
29.11.2021 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
26.11.2021 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-1 HT 2-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
0-3
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.98 xG 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
386 Passes 392
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL cruised past Santos Laguna 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Tigres UANL found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 50% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 50%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.98 to 2.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.83 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL?

Santos Laguna 0-3 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 35%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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