Cruz Azul 3-0 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
1.80/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.62
-15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
20.9 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 1.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
317 Passes 307
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-2 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
19.03.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
27.07.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
25.04.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
22.08.2021 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
25.04.2021 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 3-2 HT 2-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
3-0
AWAY Atletico San Luis
3.38 xG 0.64
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 5
443 Passes 386
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul swept aside Atletico San Luis 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 53% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 47%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 3.38 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cruz Azul and 0.67 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis?

Cruz Azul 3-0 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 54%, draw 22%, Atletico San Luis 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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