Leon vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v Club America — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Leon
MEK
2-2
HT 2-1
Club America
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Leon
MEK
2-2
HT 0-1
Leon
MEK
3-2
HT 1-1
Club America
MEK
5-2
HT 4-0
Leon
HAZ
Leon 0-1 Club America — Actual Match Statistics
Club America nicked a narrow win over Leon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Leon had 41% of the ball to Club America's 59%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 1.07 to 2.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Club America's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Leon and 2.33 for Club America.
What was the final score of Leon vs Club America?
Leon 0-1 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs Club America?
Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leon 31%, draw 24%, Club America 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.