Al Ahly 2-0 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 8 Jul 2024

📅08/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
24%
2.71
6+ Goals
12%
6.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
77%
-13.0pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.8pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+7.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.83/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.20
-1% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
19.5 Crosses 15.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
3W-2D-1L
AWAY El Geish
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.81 xG 0.59
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
462 Passes 217
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.07.2024 El Geish El Geish 0-4 HT 0-3 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
26.05.2023 El Geish El Geish 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
02.12.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 0-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
27.08.2022 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
27.04.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
21.09.2021 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSRSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
2-0
AWAY El Geish
1.21 xG 0.57
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
468 Passes 232
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly got the better of El Geish 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Al Ahly had 63% of the ball to El Geish's 37%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.21 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ahly and 0.33 for El Geish.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs El Geish?

Al Ahly 2-0 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 64%, draw 20%, El Geish 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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