Kristiansund BK 3-1 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 8 Jul 2024

Kristiansund BK
3-1 HT 2-1
Fredrikstad
📅08/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Kristiansund BK vs Fredrikstad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.45
2-3 Goals
49%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.48
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
24.0
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
11%
8.62
X/2
11%
4.24
X/X
12%
4.8
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.39
2/X
7%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 7% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-8.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kristiansund BK v Fredrikstad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 55%
+15% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.58/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.66/1.26
+26% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.6 Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –

Kristiansund BK vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kristiansund BK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 4-1 HT 1-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR1
10.04.2023 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
16.10.2016 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
18.04.2016 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-1 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR1
09.08.2015 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
16.05.2015 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-4 HT 0-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR1

Kristiansund BK 3-1 Fredrikstad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kristiansund BK
3-1
AWAY Fredrikstad
2.62 xG 1.71
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 8
447 Passes 208
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kristiansund BK vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristiansund BK beat Fredrikstad 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fredrikstad at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kristiansund BK had 65% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 35%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.62 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kristiansund BK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kristiansund BK and 1.00 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Kristiansund BK vs Fredrikstad?

Kristiansund BK 3-1 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kristiansund BK vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kristiansund BK 31%, draw 27%, Fredrikstad 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fredrikstad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ BTTS Yes
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