Stromsgodset 1-1 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 8 Jul 2024

Stromsgodset
1-1 HT 1-1
Sandefjord
📅08/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Stromsgodset vs Sandefjord Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
14%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
13%
4.41
X/2
9%
8.83
X/X
11%
5.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
20.85
2/2
11%
5.95
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.85 — our 14% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.4pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stromsgodset v Sandefjord — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
1.82/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.78
-7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
26.3 Crosses 17.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Stromsgodset vs Sandefjord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sandefjord
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.37 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
300 Passes 325
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.03.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-3 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord HAZ
16.09.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
16.05.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
27.08.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
23.04.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-5 HT 0-2 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
27.10.2021 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR

Stromsgodset 1-1 Sandefjord — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
1-1
AWAY Sandefjord
2.08 xG 1.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
329 Passes 300
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
48 Box Touches 28
29 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset and Sandefjord couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stromsgodset at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 52% of the ball to Sandefjord's 48%, shots finished 22-17, expected goals 2.08 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandefjord led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stromsgodset and 2.33 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Sandefjord?

Stromsgodset 1-1 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 51%, draw 23%, Sandefjord 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stromsgodset), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stromsgodset) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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