Miramar Misiones 2-3 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 8 Jul 2024

📅08/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.8pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.38/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.04
+13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Danubio
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
28.04.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 3-5 HT 1-2 Danubio Danubio URU
16.03.2014 Danubio Danubio 3-1 HT 2-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio edged past Miramar Misiones 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Danubio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Danubio led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Miramar Misiones and 4.00 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs Danubio?

Miramar Misiones 2-3 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miramar Misiones win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 36%, draw 28%, Danubio 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Miramar Misiones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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8 Jul 2024
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