Miramar Misiones 3-5 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.4pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.6pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-8.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 46%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.30/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.09
+14% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Danubio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
16.03.2014 Danubio Danubio 3-1 HT 2-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
3-5
AWAY Danubio
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio beat Miramar Misiones 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Danubio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 54% of the ball to Danubio's 46%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs Danubio?

Miramar Misiones 3-5 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miramar Misiones win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 34%, draw 33%, Danubio 33%. The final score 3-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Miramar Misiones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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URU More Uruguay - Premier League
28 Apr 2024
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