Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Progreso v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Progreso 2-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso squeezed past Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
From a near-even 34% / 28% / 38% read, it was Progreso who turned the coin-flip their way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: possession split 55% to 45% in Progreso's favour, shots finished 16-13.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.75 a game for Progreso against 2.00 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).
Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Result & Final Score
Progreso 2 - 1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Progreso 34%, draw 28%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), Under 2.5 went the other way.