Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
1-3
HT 0-2
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
0-4
HT 0-1
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
Progreso 2-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso squeezed past Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Progreso made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Progreso had 55% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 45%, shots finished 16-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Progreso and 2.00 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).
What was the final score of Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
Progreso 2-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Progreso 34%, draw 28%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.