Charlottesville Blues 1-0 Patuxent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 8 Jul 2024

📅08/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.96
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-9.5pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.2pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.4pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.7pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlottesville Blues EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Patuxent EU Bookmakers 16%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.83
+86% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Charlottesville Blues vs Patuxent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlottesville Blues edged past Patuxent 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charlottesville Blues as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Charlottesville Blues vs Patuxent?

Charlottesville Blues 1-0 Patuxent in the USA - USL League 2 on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlottesville Blues vs Patuxent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlottesville Blues win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Charlottesville Blues 62%, draw 17%, Patuxent 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlottesville Blues) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlottesville Blues) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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