San Francisco City FC 2-1 Marin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 8 Jul 2024

📅08/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
40%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
49%
-14.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
40%
Away Win
27%
+12.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Francisco City FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Marin EU Bookmakers 30%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.87
+28% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
327 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Francisco City FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Marin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.07.2023 San Francisco City FC San Francisco City FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Marin Marin USL2
30.06.2022 San Francisco City FC San Francisco City FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Marin Marin USL2
POST-MATCH San Francisco City FC vs Marin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Francisco City FC edged past Marin 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; San Francisco City FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Francisco City FC and 1.00 for Marin.

What was the final score of San Francisco City FC vs Marin?

San Francisco City FC 2-1 Marin in the USA - USL League 2 on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Francisco City FC vs Marin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Francisco City FC 35%, draw 26%, Marin 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marin), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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