America Mineiro 0-1 Athletic Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 8 Jul 2025

📅08/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.74
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.32/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.06
+19% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +77%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.5 Crosses 23.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America Mineiro
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Athletic Club
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2023 Athletic Club 1-1 HT 0-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BRM1
06.02.2022 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Athletic Club BRM1
04.03.2021 Athletic Club 0-1 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BRM1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America Mineiro
0-1
AWAY Athletic Club
0.87 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
370 Passes 291
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 23
28 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH America Mineiro vs Athletic Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Club squeezed past America Mineiro 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was America Mineiro at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, America Mineiro had 55% of the ball to Athletic Club's 45%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 0.87 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, America Mineiro had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for America Mineiro and 0.67 for Athletic Club.

What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Athletic Club?

America Mineiro 0-1 Athletic Club in the Brazil - Serie B on 08/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Athletic Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 49%, draw 29%, Athletic Club 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (America Mineiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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