Operario PR 1-2 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 8 Jul 2025

Operario PR
1-2 HT 1-0
Chapecoense
📅08/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Operario PR vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.71
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.7pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.3pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.0pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Operario PR v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.27/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.39
-5% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
24.8 Crosses 15.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Operario PR vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Chapecoense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.71 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 277
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.10.2024 Operario PR Operario PR 3-2 HT 1-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
18.06.2024 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-1 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
08.10.2022 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 1-1 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
28.06.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 2-1 HT 2-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
25.01.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 2-0 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
24.10.2020 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2

Operario PR 1-2 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
1-2
AWAY Chapecoense
2.38 xG 2.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
388 Passes 299
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Chapecoense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chapecoense edged past Operario PR 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Operario PR at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Operario PR had 55% of the ball to Chapecoense's 45%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.38 to 2.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Operario PR had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Operario PR and 0.83 for Chapecoense.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Chapecoense?

Operario PR 1-2 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 08/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Chapecoense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 46%, draw 33%, Chapecoense 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Operario PR) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
8 Jul 2025
03:00 America Mineiro vs Athletic Club Analysis →