Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 8 Aug 2024

📅08/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.9pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
0.93/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.20
-6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
15.3 Crosses 15.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.77 xG 1.23
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
221 Passes 285
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.06.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
09.06.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
16.05.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLK
07.02.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
01.10.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
23.04.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
0-1
AWAY Santa Fe
0.83 xG 1.63
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
176 Passes 270
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Santa Fe made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 43% of the ball to Santa Fe's 57%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.83 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 1.33 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?

Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 38%, draw 32%, Santa Fe 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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