Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-1 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 8 Aug 2024

📅08/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.5pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+37% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.80 xG 2.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
434 Passes 305
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 3
07.07.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 2-1 HT 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
0-1
AWAY Spokane Velocity
0.56 xG 1.94
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
354 Passes 421
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity edged past Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Spokane Velocity found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 46% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 54%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.56 to 1.94 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Spokane Velocity's control.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Spokane Velocity?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-1 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 31%, draw 28%, Spokane Velocity 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spokane Velocity) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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