Spokane Velocity 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 25%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
2.51/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.73
-28% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.0 Crosses 18.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spokane Velocity
2-1
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
2.67 xG 0.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
305 Passes 434
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity nicked a narrow win over Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spokane Velocity as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Spokane Velocity had 43% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 57%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.67 to 0.80 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Spokane Velocity's control.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Spokane Velocity 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 49%, draw 24%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spokane Velocity), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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