Lexington vs Union Omaha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v Union Omaha — Team-Based Signals
Lexington vs Union Omaha Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Lexington
USL1
3-0
HT 2-0
Union Omaha
USL1
Lexington 2-4 Union Omaha — Actual Match Statistics
Union Omaha saw off Lexington 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Lexington had 44% of the ball to Union Omaha's 56%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.60 to 2.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lexington and 1.00 for Union Omaha.
What was the final score of Lexington vs Union Omaha?
Lexington 2-4 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs Union Omaha?
Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lexington 24%, draw 25%, Union Omaha 51%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.