Northern Colorado 0-1 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
34%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
22%
+12.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northern Colorado EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
1.61/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.89
+14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
19.8 Crosses 14.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northern Colorado
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.66 xG 1.38
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
254 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.09.2023 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 4-2 HT 1-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
30.07.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 4-1 HT 2-0 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
05.07.2023 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 3-2 HT 2-2 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
18.07.2022 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 3-1 HT 3-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
19.05.2022 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-2 HT 1-1 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
17.04.2022 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 2-1 HT 1-1 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northern Colorado
0-1
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.57 xG 0.27
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
336 Passes 315
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Northern Colorado vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence squeezed past Northern Colorado 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Northern Colorado at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Northern Colorado had 53% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 47%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.57 to 0.27 — on chances, Northern Colorado could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northern Colorado had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Northern Colorado and 2.00 for Charlotte Independence.

What was the final score of Northern Colorado vs Charlotte Independence?

Northern Colorado 0-1 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northern Colorado vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northern Colorado win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Northern Colorado 46%, draw 20%, Charlotte Independence 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Northern Colorado) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Northern Colorado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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