Indy Eleven 1-0 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 8 Aug 2024

📅08/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 29% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+8.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.17/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.08
-19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.1 Crosses 17.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rhode Island
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.91 xG 1.86
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
195 Passes 337
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.07.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 3-3 HT 0-2 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Indy Eleven
1-0
AWAY Rhode Island
1.46 xG 0.71
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
148 Passes 261
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 15
36 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Indy Eleven edged past Rhode Island 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Indy Eleven found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Indy Eleven had 41% of the ball to Rhode Island's 59%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.46 to 0.71.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?

Indy Eleven 1-0 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 37%, draw 24%, Rhode Island 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✗ Over 2.5
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