Henan Jianye 4-1 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
14%
4.62
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.74
Over 2.5
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.05
2-3 Goals
40%
2.07
4-5 Goals
28%
2.42
6+ Goals
13%
4.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.65
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.55
X/1
14%
4.19
X/2
11%
14.2
X/X
6%
8.1
2/1
8%
18.25
2/2
6%
10.2
2/X
4%
18.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-1.0pp
14%
Draw
19%
-4.6pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
33%
+3.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
67%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.5pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 18%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.55/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.84
-36% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
431 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 81%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.5 Crosses 14.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.10 xG 1.03
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
285 Passes 281
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
13.07.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
05.04.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-2 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
28.07.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-1 HT 2-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
30.04.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
29.10.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
4-1
AWAY Shenzhen FC
2.61 xG 1.28
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
356 Passes 238
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye cruised past Shenzhen FC 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Henan Jianye as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 57% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 43%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.61 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Henan Jianye had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Henan Jianye and 0.83 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Shenzhen FC?

Henan Jianye 4-1 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 65%, draw 14%, Shenzhen FC 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Henan Jianye), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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