VfB Oldenburg 4-0 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+10.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.9pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +24%
2.22/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.15
+12% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +46%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VfB Oldenburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lübeck
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Lübeck Lübeck 1-1 HT 0-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
18.04.2022 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
01.04.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 1-2 HT 1-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
23.09.2019 Lübeck Lübeck 3-1 HT 1-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
30.08.2015 Lübeck Lübeck 0-1 HT 0-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
22.02.2015 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH VfB Oldenburg vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Oldenburg ran out comfortable winners over Lübeck 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had VfB Oldenburg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for VfB Oldenburg and 1.00 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of VfB Oldenburg vs Lübeck?

VfB Oldenburg 4-0 Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Oldenburg vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split VfB Oldenburg 46%, draw 21%, Lübeck 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VfB Oldenburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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