Lübeck 1-1 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.43/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.77
-16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
2W-1D-2L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2022 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
01.04.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 1-2 HT 1-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
23.09.2019 Lübeck Lübeck 3-1 HT 1-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
30.08.2015 Lübeck Lübeck 0-1 HT 0-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
22.02.2015 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck and VfB Oldenburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lübeck and 0.80 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg?

Lübeck 1-1 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 38%, draw 29%, VfB Oldenburg 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lübeck), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lübeck) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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