Altglienicke 2-2 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.52/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.81
-11% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altglienicke
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.02.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-2 HT 1-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
06.05.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-2 HT 1-2 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
25.11.2022 Altglienicke Altglienicke 2-3 HT 1-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Altglienicke vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altglienicke and Greifswalder SV shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Altglienicke had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Altglienicke and 1.67 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of Altglienicke vs Greifswalder SV?

Altglienicke 2-2 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altglienicke vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altglienicke win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Altglienicke 40%, draw 29%, Greifswalder SV 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Altglienicke), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altglienicke) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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