26/10/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
FSV Frankfurt vs Villingen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
23%
Draw
24%
32%
Away Win
24%
50%
Under 2.5
41%
50%
Over 2.5
59%
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
49%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FSV Frankfurt v Villingen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
FSV Frankfurt
EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Villingen
EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-14%
/
-13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
393 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
264 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.1
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
FSV Frankfurt vs Villingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FSV Frankfurt cruised past Villingen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FSV Frankfurt as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of FSV Frankfurt vs Villingen?
FSV Frankfurt 3-0 Villingen in the Germany - Regional League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FSV Frankfurt vs Villingen?
Before kick-off our model rated a FSV Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FSV Frankfurt 46%, draw 23%, Villingen 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FSV Frankfurt) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (FSV Frankfurt)
✗ BTTS Yes
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ALMBÖL
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26 Oct 2024