Viktoria Berlin 2-0 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.51/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.77
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Berlin
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2024 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 1-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
06.08.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
14.04.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 0-2 HT 0-1 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
26.09.2020 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 3-2 HT 1-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
13.12.2019 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 1-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Viktoria Berlin vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Berlin beat Chemie Leipzig 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Viktoria Berlin as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Berlin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viktoria Berlin and 1.00 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Viktoria Berlin vs Chemie Leipzig?

Viktoria Berlin 2-0 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Berlin vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Berlin 42%, draw 29%, Chemie Leipzig 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Berlin), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) ✓ Under 2.5
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