Chelsea vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Chelsea
ŞMP
2-0
HT 0-0
Bayer Leverkusen
ŞMP
Chelsea 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea beat Bayer Leverkusen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Chelsea had 68% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 32%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 1.84 to 0.22.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chelsea and 1.00 for Bayer Leverkusen.
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Chelsea 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen in the Friendlies on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 49%, draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.