Almeria 0-1 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Aug 2025

Almeria
0-1 HT 0-1
Elche
📅08/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Almeria vs Elche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 28% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.46
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
11%
5.43
X/2
17%
5.92
X/X
13%
4.94
2/1
10%
26.0
2/2
9%
3.96
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almeria v Elche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.59/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.25
-62% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.0

Almeria vs Elche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Elche
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.38 xG 1.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 395
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.02.2025 Almeria Almeria 1-1 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
08.11.2024 Elche Elche 1-2 HT 1-1 Almeria Almeria İS2
22.08.2022 Elche Elche 1-1 HT 1-1 Almeria Almeria İS1
06.01.2022 Almeria Almeria 1-2 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İSPK
26.01.2020 Almeria Almeria 0-2 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
16.11.2019 Elche Elche 1-1 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2

Almeria 0-1 Elche — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria
0-1
AWAY Elche
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Almeria vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche squeezed past Almeria 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Elche found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Almeria had 42% of the ball to Elche's 58%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Almeria and 1.33 for Elche.

What was the final score of Almeria vs Elche?

Almeria 0-1 Elche in the Friendlies on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Almeria 38%, draw 28%, Elche 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Almeria), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almeria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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