Carlisle United 2-3 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 8 Aug 2026

Carlisle United
2-3 HT 1-0
Worthing
📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - National League – 2026/2027

Carlisle United vs Worthing Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
28%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.89
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.7
X/1
9%
4.09
X/2
8%
11.55
X/X
10%
6.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.8
2/2
11%
9.08
2/X
9%
17.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.8pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carlisle United v Worthing — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+26% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
201 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 186 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards –

Carlisle United 2-3 Worthing — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlisle United
2-3
AWAY Worthing
21 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carlisle United vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing squeezed past Carlisle United 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Carlisle United at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 21-4.

What was the final score of Carlisle United vs Worthing?

Carlisle United 2-3 Worthing in the England - National League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlisle United vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 51%, draw 23%, Worthing 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carlisle United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carlisle United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
8 Aug 2026
17:00 Altrincham vs Southend United Analysis →
17:00 AFC Fylde vs Wealdstone Analysis →
17:00 Boreham Wood vs Tamworth Analysis →
17:00 Boston Utd vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
17:00 Eastleigh vs Gateshead Analysis →
17:00 Forest Green Rovers vs Halifax Town Analysis →