Oxford City 1-0 Bedford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.17
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.38 — our 29% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.95/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.20
+27% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bedford Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2025 Oxford City Oxford City 1-2 HT 1-1 Bedford Town Bedford Town İCON
21.10.2025 Bedford Town Bedford Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Oxford City Oxford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford City
1-0
AWAY Bedford Town
12 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs Bedford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford City squeezed past Bedford Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Oxford City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bedford Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Oxford City and 1.50 for Bedford Town.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs Bedford Town?

Oxford City 1-0 Bedford Town in the England - Conference on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Bedford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 48%, draw 22%, Bedford Town 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oxford City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oxford City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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