Bedford Town 1-0 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.83
2-3 Goals
34%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
9.34
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 30% vs market 19.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City EU Bookmakers 37%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
2.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.57
+78% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bedford Town
1-0
AWAY Oxford City
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bedford Town vs Oxford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bedford Town edged past Oxford City 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Bedford Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bedford Town had 40% of the ball to Oxford City's 60%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of Bedford Town vs Oxford City?

Bedford Town 1-0 Oxford City in the England - Conference on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bedford Town vs Oxford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bedford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bedford Town 38%, draw 24%, Oxford City 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bedford Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bedford Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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