Salisbury 1-0 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.63
No
38%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
13%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+8.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
57%
+4.9pp
38%
BTTS No
43%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
1.25/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.43
-11% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Farnborough
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.01.2025 Salisbury Salisbury 0-0 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
16.11.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 3-0 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İNFAT
07.09.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 3-1 HT 1-0 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
26.03.2022 Salisbury Salisbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İNGNLP
20.11.2021 Farnborough Farnborough 2-1 HT 0-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
1-0
AWAY Farnborough
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury edged past Farnborough 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Farnborough at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salisbury had 49% of the ball to Farnborough's 51%, shots finished 16-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Salisbury and 1.00 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Farnborough?

Salisbury 1-0 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 34%, draw 24%, Farnborough 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Farnborough) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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