Weston-super-Mare 5-1 Slough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 26% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+2.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Slough Town EU Bookmakers 23%
-29% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.44/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.87
-19% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Slough Town
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2025 Slough Town Slough Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
03.09.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-0 HT 0-0 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
03.02.2024 Slough Town Slough Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
19.08.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 0-3 HT 0-3 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Slough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare ran out comfortable winners over Slough Town 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Weston-super-Mare as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 1.50 for Slough Town.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Slough Town?

Weston-super-Mare 5-1 Slough Town in the England - Conference on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Slough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 59%, draw 22%, Slough Town 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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