Chesham United 1-2 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
47%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.0pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.3pp
47%
Away Win
37%
+10.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +12%
1.42/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.56
+8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesham United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Worthing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
08.03.2025 Worthing Worthing 3-0 HT 1-0 Chesham United Chesham United İCON
09.11.2024 Chesham United Chesham United 2-0 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesham United
1-2
AWAY Worthing
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing edged past Chesham United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Chesham United had 50% of the ball to Worthing's 50%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chesham United and 1.50 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Worthing?

Chesham United 1-2 Worthing in the England - Conference on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 31%, draw 22%, Worthing 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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