08/03/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Worthing vs Chesham United Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
23%
Draw
24%
32%
Away Win
24%
46%
Under 2.5
43%
54%
Over 2.5
57%
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
50%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Worthing v Chesham United — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Worthing
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Chesham United
EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% /
-4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
1.75/1.10
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.22/1.25
-1%
/
-11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+7%
/
+19%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
338 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
355 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.8
Yellow Cards
2.0
Worthing vs Chesham United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Worthing
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Chesham United
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Worthing vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Worthing cruised past Chesham United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Worthing vs Chesham United?
Worthing 3-0 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Worthing vs Chesham United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Worthing 45%, draw 23%, Chesham United 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Worthing)
✓ Over 2.5
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İCON
More England - Conference
8 Mar 2025