Dorking Wanderers 2-2 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
29%
2.79
6+ Goals
9%
8.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
61%
-16.2pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.8pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.1pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
2.07/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.96
+13% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Chelmsford City
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.11.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-4 HT 0-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
19.02.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
04.09.2021 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-2 HT 1-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
15.02.2020 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
09.11.2019 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-2 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers and Chelmsford City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dorking Wanderers at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 0.80 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City?

Dorking Wanderers 2-2 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 45%, draw 27%, Chelmsford City 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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