Eastbourne Borough 4-1 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +27%
1.82/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.21
-1% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
04.11.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 4-2 HT 1-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
25.03.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
03.12.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-1 HT 1-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
19.02.2022 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
16.10.2021 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-2 HT 1-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
4-1
AWAY Chippenham Town
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough ran out comfortable winners over Chippenham Town 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eastbourne Borough as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 65% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 35%, shots finished 21-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 2.00 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Chippenham Town?

Eastbourne Borough 4-1 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 49%, draw 24%, Chippenham Town 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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