Truro City 3-2 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 31% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.52/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.65
-14% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
427 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Welling United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Welling United Welling United 1-2 HT 1-2 Truro City Truro City İCON
27.02.2024 Welling United Welling United 3-2 HT 0-1 Truro City Truro City İCON
05.08.2023 Truro City Truro City 5-2 HT 5-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
3-2
AWAY Welling United
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City edged past Welling United 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Truro City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Truro City had 60% of the ball to Welling United's 40%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Truro City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Truro City and 2.00 for Welling United.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Welling United?

Truro City 3-2 Welling United in the England - Conference on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Truro City 50%, draw 28%, Welling United 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Truro City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Truro City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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