Welling United 1-2 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.94
6+ Goals
10%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 50%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.35/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.79
+9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +55%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welling United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Truro City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
27.02.2024 Welling United Welling United 3-2 HT 0-1 Truro City Truro City İCON
05.08.2023 Truro City Truro City 5-2 HT 5-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welling United
1-2
AWAY Truro City
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Welling United vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City squeezed past Welling United 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Truro City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Welling United had 46% of the ball to Truro City's 54%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Welling United and 3.50 for Truro City.

What was the final score of Welling United vs Truro City?

Welling United 1-2 Truro City in the England - Conference on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Welling United 31%, draw 27%, Truro City 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Truro City) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Truro City) ✗ BTTS No
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