Maidstone United 1-0 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.9pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.9pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.65/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2021 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 5-4 HT 2-2 Maidstone United Maidstone United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
1-0
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United edged past AFC Hornchurch 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Maidstone United had 53% of the ball to AFC Hornchurch's 47%, shots finished 18-3.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs AFC Hornchurch?

Maidstone United 1-0 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 48%, draw 32%, AFC Hornchurch 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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