Chesham United 2-0 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Nov 2024

Chesham United
2-0 HT 1-0
Worthing
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Chesham United vs Worthing Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.65 — our 29% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.6pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chesham United v Worthing — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 37%
-61% / -61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +15%
0.49/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.42
-65% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United beat Worthing 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chesham United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Worthing?

Chesham United 2-0 Worthing in the England - Conference on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 41%, draw 25%, Worthing 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesham United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chesham United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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