Salisbury 3-0 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Farnborough
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
07.09.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 3-1 HT 1-0 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
26.03.2022 Salisbury Salisbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İNGNLP
20.11.2021 Farnborough Farnborough 2-1 HT 0-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
3-0
AWAY Farnborough
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury cruised past Farnborough 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Salisbury found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Salisbury had 48% of the ball to Farnborough's 52%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Farnborough led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salisbury and 1.67 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Farnborough?

Salisbury 3-0 Farnborough in the England - FA Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 35%, draw 26%, Farnborough 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Farnborough), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNFAT More England - FA Cup
16 Nov 2024
18:00 Lewes vs AFC Totton Analysis →
18:00 Chorley vs Marine Analysis →
18:00 Dorking Wanderers vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →
18:00 Chesham United vs Chippenham Town Analysis →
18:00 Peterborough Sports vs Chelmsford City Analysis →
18:00 Enfield Town vs AFC Hornchurch Analysis →