Lewes 0-2 AFC Totton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.97
Over 2.5
60%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
44%
-9.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
47%
-7.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
53%
+7.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lewes EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Lewes vs AFC Totton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton beat Lewes 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; AFC Totton found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Lewes vs AFC Totton?

Lewes 0-2 AFC Totton in the England - FA Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lewes vs AFC Totton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lewes win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lewes 36%, draw 29%, AFC Totton 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lewes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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