Chorley 3-1 Marine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Marine EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +143% / -41%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chorley
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Marine
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2024 Marine Marine 3-0 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
3-1
AWAY Marine
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Marine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley saw off Marine 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Chorley had 44% of the ball to Marine's 56%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Marine?

Chorley 3-1 Marine in the England - FA Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Marine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chorley 47%, draw 25%, Marine 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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