Marine 3-0 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Nov 2024

Marine
3-0 HT 1-0
Chorley
📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Marine vs Chorley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.17
6+ Goals
8%
20.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 34% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marine v Chorley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marine EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 48%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
0.24/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.11
-81% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
226 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 88%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Marine 3-0 Chorley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marine
3-0
AWAY Chorley
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marine vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marine swept aside Chorley 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chorley at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Marine had 53% of the ball to Chorley's 47%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Marine vs Chorley?

Marine 3-0 Chorley in the England - Conference on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marine vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Marine 30%, draw 27%, Chorley 43%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chorley), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chorley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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