Salisbury 0-1 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Nov 2024

Salisbury
0-1 HT 0-0
Torquay United
📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Salisbury vs Torquay United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.66
6+ Goals
8%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 30% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salisbury v Torquay United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 43%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.53
-25% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Salisbury 0-1 Torquay United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
0-1
AWAY Torquay United
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United squeezed past Salisbury 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Torquay United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Salisbury had 56% of the ball to Torquay United's 44%, shots finished 14-13.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Torquay United?

Salisbury 0-1 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 39%, draw 24%, Torquay United 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Salisbury) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salisbury) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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