Eastbourne Borough 4-1 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.85/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.64
+4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
385 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Welling United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Welling United Welling United 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
16.12.2023 Welling United Welling United 0-2 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
23.09.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-2 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
10.04.2023 Welling United Welling United 1-0 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
13.09.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-1 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
15.04.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 3-3 HT 3-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
4-1
AWAY Welling United
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough swept aside Welling United 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Eastbourne Borough as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 61% of the ball to Welling United's 39%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 1.17 for Welling United.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Welling United?

Eastbourne Borough 4-1 Welling United in the England - Conference on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 49%, draw 26%, Welling United 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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